What was not reasonable, given the trajectory of Country Email List Azuay's Correísta and the rest of the informed intuitions, was to suppose that in the absence of Pérez, the majority of those votes would go to Lasso. This is the intuitive explanation of the Country Email List notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." most of those votes would go to Lasso. This is the intuitive explanation of the notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." most of those votes would go to Lasso. This is the intuitive Country Email List explanation of the notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." In the second round, Lasso obtained 187,000 votes in Azuay.
It is up for discussion whether or not that is Country Email List exactly what he "had" to get out (and several forecasts suggested that it was). Arauz, on the other hand, reached 146,000 votes and there were 151,000 invalid votes. The null vote, in Azuay, a Correísta stronghold that in 2021 Country Email List turned to Pérez, breaking with the historical trend, reached a higher vote in the second round than the Correísta candidate. The version that "Azuay, a historically correist province, turned to Lasso" is not Country Email List precise enough. Lasso took out what he had to take out; the invalid vote exceeded the vote for the correísta candidate.
The null vote (in addition to the one that Country Email List already existed since the first round) arose mostly from the voters who voted for Pérez in the first round; and those votes that Arauz did not receive constitute, in this context, a "deficit" that caused him to lose the Country Email List province. Each vote that went to Pérez in the first round and became invalid in the second round “helped” Lasso because it Country Email List brought him closer to Arauz, who was first, due to the way in which the percentage of the total valid votes is calculated.